John Hemming's Web Log

Data last date 24/1/2021 This table reports a forecast based upon fitting hospital admissions to a gompertz curve starting in November. Xmas will skew these figures, but it is a mechanism for forecasting demand. Peak admissions Peak Date The Dallingtons 16 20.01.2021 364 The Walton Centre NHS Foundation Trust 6 31.01.2021 107 Kent and Medway NHS and Social Care Partnership Trust 3 09.01.2021 100 Birmingham and Solihull Mental Health NHS Foundation Trust 5 18.01.2021 184 Solent NHS Trust 3 11.01.2021 90 Central and North West London NHS Foundation Trust 5 27.01.2021 136 Dorset Healthcare University NHS Foundation Trust 8 19.01.2021 306 Western Sussex Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 35 16.01.2021 1411 Livewell Southwest 2 25.12.2020 77 University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 29 18.01.2021 1238 Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 26 16.01.2021 1096 Chesterfield Royal Hospital NHS Foundation Trust 26 17.01.2021 1090 Torbay and South Devon NHS

Data last date 24/1/2021 This table reports admissions into hospital trusts for covid in the order of the number of admissions in the last available week compared to the total number of admissions. The idea is to highlight those trusts which are having a high level of admissions that has grown in the past two weeks. Some trusts serve areas where there is a high level of immunity and hence few people being infected. However, some patients are being redirected to other hospitals and we don't necessarily see the same low level of admissions. Total admissions Admissions Last Week Admissions Prior Week Admissions Fortnight first wave Compare last two weeks Percentage of total in last week The Dallingtons 227 96 95 0 Growing 42.3 The Walton Centre NHS Foundation Trust 123 21 19 18 Growing 17.1 Kent and Medway NHS and Social Care Partnership Trust 129 21 20 26 Growing 16.3 Birmingham and Solihull Mental Health NHS Foundation Trust 198 31 28 8 Growing 15.7 Solent NHS Trust 118 18 14