Skip to main content

Treasury Assumptions

I have now managed to hack into the Treasury Model programs and get the two key programs to work.

The programs are not, however, the whole story. There are also a list of assumptions for external (exogenous) variables and the residual values. The Treasury generate these to produce the budget predictions.

They have never provided these to anyone previously, but I have made a formal request under the Freedom of Information Act for that data. It will be an interesting point of law as to whether or not under S35 that information is exempt.

The programs are relatively complex so it does not surprise me that very few people (OEF and the Item Club only otherwise) actually run the program other than those in the treasury. The program is written in Fortran which is a relatively rare language these days. I last programmed in it in 1978.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Six months for recording a court hearing - Norman Scarth

The link is in Russian about the imprisonment of Norman Scarth who is actually 85. He has a complex history including a court hearing which found that he used a chainsaw to fight off bailiffs when he was 75. [a court judgment which is disputed see comments] However, that does not justify imprisoning him for 6 months for recording a court hearing (see the link and ask google to translate it if your Russian is not up to it). It has got into the Argyll News Because he has been held such that people cannot get to him to sign paperwork an application for a writ of Habeas Corpus was made today. This has been adjourned until next week. The English judicial system is really not good at responding to major abuses of human rights by the judicial system.