John Hemming's Web Log John's Reference Website
Sunday, February 13, 2005
  For students of electoral procedure - UIA get 140 seats out of 275 a majority (estimate)
As I am the sort of person who is interested in the mechanics of elections I thought I would have a look at the seat allocation procedure. It is a different procedure to that used by the UK for the European Parliament (D'Hondt). The details are available at the link above.

The initial quota is 30,750. All parties with less than that get excluded leaving only the remaining groups. I'm in bit of a rush at the moment so I have not checked the calculations. These are the figures at stage 2 of the allocation.
PartyVotesQuotaMy Guess
102432051.482
130217555174.6975
1694075295139.92140
175934803.23
204362551.241
2551506805.175
258367951.261
283605922.082
285116694340.0740
311307961.061
324699202.402/3
352432052.402/3
Total8009450275


On this I guess that SCIRI/Da'wa UIA will have 140 seats of the 275 viz a majority.

This is the interesting thing about the net. All the media are saying that UIA don't have a majority, but on my calculations they do.
 
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