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Does gas run out in 73 days?

Actually no. Although if you take forwards the extraction rates of an average of 431 GWh from Long Term storage then we only have 73 days of gas left in storage at that rate. Between 50 and 70 million cubic metres of gas is being taken from storage each day at the moment.

Demand has jumped recently
This is a graph of demand from the National Grid.

Clearly as to be expected gas demand has jumped massively in November.

A lot of gas (11 days of total British Consumption) is stored by Centrica and is the Long Term Storage. If this runs short then we would be short say about 60 mcm a day which is about 1/6th of total usage. A serious problem, but not strictly "running out" of gas.

Press Release
John Hemming MP has written to Malcolm Wicks MP to ask him to identify what urgent action the government will be taking given that current extract rates from storage predict that we could run out of stored natural gas by the end of February 2006.

An analysis released today by Energy Campaigning MP John Hemming has revealed that the demand today is running at more than 20 Million Cubic Metres (mcm) greater than the normal seasonal demand and that gas supply is clearly constrained.

"The basic assumptions for capacity in the National Grid's Winter Outlook 2005 is 357 mcm/d excluding storage. Gas usage on Sunday (20/11) was 353 mcm as opposed to a seasonal normal of 326 mcm (ie 27,000,000 cm more than normal for this time of year). The forecast demand today is 375 mcm. This is already over the basic capacity assumption.

"Sunday's supply, however, was only 275 mcm from beach as opposed to the forecast 303 mcm a shortfall of 28 mcm and 32 mcm from the interconnector a shortfall of 10 mcm. This left 56 mcm being taken from storage. The average 7 day flow is 269 mcm from beach and 33 mcm from the interconnector. This implies an average Sunday shortfall of 50 mcm and weekdays at 70 mcm."

"On Saturday 393 GWh was withdrawn from long term storage and on Sunday 469 Gwh was withdrawn. The average rate is 431 GWh. Long term storage has 34198 GWh currently which is 26392 greater than the safety minimum of 7806. This rate of flow could be sustained for 61 days. There is 6565 GWh in Short and Medium Term which is 5173 more than the safety margin of 1392 which gives an additional 12 days. This gives a total of 73 days if nothing changes."

"Clearly things will change. However, it is normal practise for demand to peak around 14th Jan. If we are producing less gas than was originally estimated and also consuming more then there is need for the government to come clean on natural gas. I am not saying that we should press the panic button as yet, but at least we should find out where it is."

"At a guess I think quite a few people switched on their central heating last week."


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Statement by John Hemming
I am pleased that the Police have now made it clear that there has been a concerted effort to promote false criminal allegations against me and that the allegations had no substance whatsoever.
I would like to thank Emily Cox, my children, Ayaz Iqbal (my Solicitor), my local lib dem team and many others who supported me through this dreadful experience. There are many worse things that happen to people, but this was a really bad experience.
It is bad enough to have false allegations made about yourself to the police, but to have a concerted campaign involving your political opponents and many others in public creates an environment in which it is reasonable to be concerned about ill founded vigilante attacks on your family and yourself. Luckily there was a more substantial lobby to the contrary as well, which included many people who were themselves real survivors of abuse, which has helped.
I am normally someone who helps other people fight injustice. …

R v SUSSEX JUSTICES ex p McCARTHY [1924] 1 KB 256

I have only just found this one which I think is accurately reported below (but if it is not please give me an accurate report).


R v SUSSEX JUSTICES ex p McCARTHY [1924] 1 KB 256

November 9 1923

Editor’s comments in bold.

Here, the magistrates’ clerk retired with the bench when they were considering a charge of dangerous driving. The clerk belonged to a firm of solicitors acting in civil proceedings for the other party to the accident. It was entirely irrelevant that there had been no evidence of actual influence brought to bear on the magistrates, and the conviction was duly quashed.

It is clear that the deputy clerk was a member of the firm of solicitors engaged in the conduct of proceedings for damages against the applicant in respect of the same collision as that which gave rise to the charge that the justices were considering. It is said, and, no doubt, truly, that when that gentleman retired in the usual way with the justices, taking with him the…

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It was recently reported that the police were not investigating the allegations of Perverting the Course of Justice that I had made. This came as a surprise to me as I had been told for some time that my allegations were to be considered once the VRR had been rejected. I have now had a very constructive meeting with Staffordshire police on Friday 29th June 2018 and the misunderstandings have been resolved. At that meeting the evidence relating to the perversion of the course of justice and the harassment campaign against my family were discussed. The police have decided to investigate both the perversion of the course of justice and also the harassment campaign. I would like to thank them for changing their decision and I accept their apology for the way in which they did that. I am also in possession of written confirmation a police force would be investigating allegations that a vulnerable witness has been harassed for trying to expose the campaign against me. I hope that the aut…