John Hemming's Web Log

In Darlington the result of the referendum for an elected Mayor was: No - 11,226 (58.4%) Yes - 7,981 (41.6%) Turnout was 24.7% The proposal to have an elected mayor is therefore lost. In Birmingham there is some effort to get a petition for an "elected Mayor". Of those campaigning for the petition not everyone wants the "elected Mayor". In the mean time the BBC are having a real go at James Purnell about a photoshopped photo. I cannot bring myself to be bothered really. Yes he is a Labour Minister, but having a go about something trivial that he does not seem to be responsible for is a waste of air time.

Cheshire CC, Gowy Con 1863 (50.4; +2.1), LD Andrew Garman 1419 (38.4; +5.7), Lab 307 (8.3; -10.8), UKIP 107 (2.9; +2.9). Majority 444. Turnout not known. Con hold. Last fought 2005. Chester-le-Street DC, Chester Central Lab 324 (59.4; -11.1), Con 89 (16.3; -13.2), LD Sean Kilkenny 81 (14.9; +14.9), BNP 51 (9.4; +9.4). Majority 235. Turnout 25.7%. Lab hold. Last fought 2007. Dover DC, Aylesham Lab 661 (79.7; +11.4), Con 108 (13.0; -12.6), Ind 59 (7.1; +0.9), Ind 1 (0.1; +0.1). Majority 553. Turnout 23.7%. Lab hold. Last fought 2007. Dover DC, Maxton, Elms Vale and Priory Labour 365 (33.7; -3.3), LD John Mackie 274 (25.3; +6.1), Con 252 (23.3; -8.2), Ind 70 (6.5; -5.8), UKIP 65 (6.0; +6.0), Ind 56 (5.2; +5.2). Majority 91. Turnout 20.2%. Lab hold. Last fought 2007. Kent CC, Dover Town Lab 1860 (44.5; -5.8), Con 1348 (32.2; +4.1), LD Dean Stiles 420 (10.0; -11.6), Ind 300 (7.2; +7.2), UKIP 256 (6.1; +6.1). Majority 512. Turnout 19.5%. Lab hold. Last fought 2005. Mansfield DC, Lindhurst La...

One of the more obvious things in parliament is that Labour say things will change, but often little changes. One small example relates to shop lifting. There is a form of shop lifting allowance before anyone is prosecuted rather than cautioned. This means that in essence people can shoplift knowing they won't be prosecuted. The rhetoric of Labout is "talking tough", but the action is not there. Gordon Brown claims to want accountable government. That means answering questions. However, they are refusing to answer questions about the costs of red boxes. They claim it is too expensive. Then they won't say how they worked out the costs. Another good example is the use of "reasonable force" for self-defence. There is actually a good argument to give victims security against prosecution in certain situations. However, they reviewed the issue three years ago and decided to do nothing. MRSA is another issue where they are unlikely to take the right actio...

There are, of course, unknowns that are known as well as unknowns that are unknown. Immigration, however, is a policy area where we really don't know what is happening. What the government think is the case, local government know not to be true. In the mean time it is massively complex. At the same time we have people emigrating from the UK. This leads to a situation where a policy area that is very important to many people is debated with almost no understanding of the reality. C'est la vie. We discussed some of the aspects today at Health Scrutiny COmmittee. The health, housing and employment aspects of immigration are all interrelated and all operate on the basis of slightly separate rules. We have the complexity, for example, of destitution plus which means that a failed asylum seeker who is on tablet for depression gets support from the state, but one who is not depressed does not. The complexity that I think best demonstrates the absurdity of the system is the tale fr...

One thing I find unusual about CAFCASS is that they will refuse to register complaints from time to time. They refuse to register a similar number of complaints as they actually register. (same order of magnitude). The numbers of complaints not registered in recent years are Year Number of complaints not registered Registered Complaints 2004/5 236 248 2005/6 215 259 2006/7 354 194 Figures updated as a result of CAFCASS update (correcting 2005/6) and providing registered figures.

As part of the Audit Commission and DCLG's management of local authorities each local authority is required to have targets for various things (recycling etc). It is possible to find out centrally what the outcomes are for the indicators, but noone collates the information as to what the targets are. Anyone looking for the adoption target for a local authority should search for BV 163, BVPI 163 or PAF C23 on the local authority website. It should be published as part of the Best Value Performance Plan (BVPP). However, finding the information centrally involves quite a bit of work.

Local Councils are both licensing and planning authorities with different systems for making decisions. One area of problem has been that the Licensing Committee is only allowed to take into account a limited range of things and cannot consider planning issues. However, I was pleased today that the Licensing Committee took into account when looking at an application for ... another ... brothel massage parlour in Hay Mills whether or not planning permission had been obtained as an indicator of the suitability of the applicant and/or premises. This will improve the operation of licensing in Birmingham in the future.

This song (link for lyrics) is quite funny. It is sung to the tune of Supercalifragiliciousexpialidocious. I do have an MP3, but don't know where it is on the web (one of my daughters gave it to me)

The link should give the currently available judicial statistics. This includes for care order the number of times the local authority is turned down. That should worry people given the high proportion of proposals agreed by the judiciary.

The issue of the European Reform Treaty is one which is material in terms of the General Election. Clearly this causes Gordon Brown problems if he has an early general election because he would be under considerable electoral pressure to promise a referendum. However, that may not prevent him from going for it.

I have run my office on the basis of one member of staff in London and others in Birmingham since 2005. I am, however, now going to experiment with having a team based in Birmingham who all spend a week in turn in London. The team of caseworkers is up for this as a proposal. This structure will particularly suit recent graduates as it will give a wide range of experience. The job is advertised on w4mp (see link).

The figures for up to 31st March 2007 have now been relased. The number of adoptions from care have dropped from 3,700 to 3,300, but the number of special guardianships have gone up from 60 to 740. The two figures are lumped together for the target BV163 or PAF C23. I cannot sensibly comment on these figures until I see the details of various profiles (age, gender etc).

The link is to a story in the Birmingham Post linked to a Committee Meeting of the Council at which the recruitment of Social Workers from the USA was discussed. It also raises the point about referrals. The problem is that all the analysis of the failures of the system have missed the point that it is the decisions in Local Authorities, CAFCASS and the Family Courts that go wrong for various reasons. It is not an absence of referrals. Hence more referrals just makes the system creak further. It will be interesting to find out if the government do scrap BVPI 163 (aka PAF C23) and how that affects things.

This is a story which is unclear. The police are saying that training was needed. The problem is that if the evidence is that someone is somewhere under the water but the location is unclear then that would be the argument - not an absence of training. I think this is something which needs a bit of clarification. The initial story implied that common sense was being squeezed out. It is now unclear, but the statements issued by Greater Manchester Police do not properly stack up.

Birmingham MBC, Brandwood Lab 1998 (42.7; +9.1), Con 1663 (35.6; -4.2), BNP 290 (6.2; -2.7), LD Brian Peace 285 (6.1; -4.9), Green 193 (4.1; -2.6), Ind 157 (3.4; +3.4), UKIP 64 (1.4; +1.4), New Nationalist Party 25 (0.5; +0.5). Majority 335. Turnout 26.2%. Lab gain from Con. Last fought 2007. Caerphilly UA, Moriah Lab 638 (73.5; -3.1), Ind 230 (26.5; +26.5), [PC (0.0; -23.4)]. Majority 408. Turnout 26.3%. Lab hold. Last fought 2004. Copeland DC, Harbour Lab 463 (44.3; -17.1), Con 337 (32.2; -6.4), BNP 245 (23.4; +23.4). Majority 126. Turnout 31.5%. Lab hold. Last fought 2007. Nuneaton and Bedworth BC, Abbey Lab 807 (37.9; -1.0), BNP 457 (21.5; +21.5), LD Mish Whitmore 409 (19.2; -16.5), Con 329 (15.5; -9.9), Green 115 (5.4; +5.4), Ind 10 (0.5; +0.5). Majority 350. Turnout 38.9%. Lab gain from LD. Last fought 2006. Pembrokeshire UA, Pembroke St Michael Con 251 (30.6; +30.6), LD Gareth Jones 242 (29.5; -28.9), Ind 184 (22.5; -19.1), Lab 142 (17.3; +17.3). Majority 9. Turnout 42.5%. Con g...

Pauline has always demonstrated an impressive understanding of court procedures. It is sad, but the failures of the legal profession have led to parents having to learn how to use legal procedures themselves. There are different problems in different areas of the country. In Liverpool there are quite a few odd things that happen in the courts.

The link is to the US based NCCPR. They have similar, but probably not as extreme, problems as exist in the UK. The culture of consequentialism that dominates child protection theory tends to drive the same patterns of misbehaviour where the checks and balances fail. They have a number of proposals for looking after children (and families) here I make no comment about these.

The linked story is to one in the Sunday Telegraph which reveals that the increase in numbers of newborns taken into care has actually been accompanied by an increase in deaths of babies from homicide rather than a reduction. To that extent it is clear that the changes in the child protection system are failing to protect children.

Project Creep is a logical conclusion of the Dustbin Theory of Decision-making. The Dustbin Theory of Decision-making (prop D. Howarth) is that most decisions are made essentially by a dustbin being passed around and everyone who it passes chucking something in. That means that most decisions are dominated by the people who are passed by the bin. This is one of the flaws of politics. It also results in Project Creep. Project Creep means that if the people involved in the project also dominate in defining the boundaries of the project then it will expand gradually to get larger and larger. This is the big problem in relating to the European Union. Unless the project is held back through constitutional mechanisms them power will gradually be centralised. That is why I am really "not sure" about the European Treaty. I am sure that I would wish to have a referendum on the issue. However, I am uncomfortable with anything that makes project creep easier. If anyone really thi...

Brent LBC, Stonebridge Lab 1432 (51.9 -1.6), LD S Wiltshire 864 (31.3 +16.2), Respect 237 (8.6 +8.6), Con 177 (6.4 -13.3), Green 51 (1.8 -5.2), [Ind (0.0 -4.7)]. Majority 568. Turnout 24.03. Lab hold. Last fought 2006. Chelmsford BC, Broomfield and The Walthams LD M Taylor 1198 (56.3 +38.1), Con 742 (34.9 -20.8), Lab 76 (3.6 -4.2), UKIP 57 (2.7 -5.7), Green 53 (2.5 -7.4). Majority 456. Turnout 35. LD gain Con. Last fought 2007. Conwy UA, Mochdre Lab 303 (45.7 -6.2), PC 166 (25.0 -23.1), Con 159 (24.0 +24.0), BNP 35 (5.3 +5.3). Majority 137. Lab hold. Last fought 2004. Lewisham LBC, Whitefoot LD P Pattisson 986 (37.1 -3.0), Lab 901 (33.9 +7.2), Con 536 (20.2 +2.5), Ind 95 (3.6 +3.6), UKIP 89, (3.3 -5.1), Green 52 (2.0 -5.2). Majority 85. Turnout 28.2. LD hold. Last fought 2006. Liverpool City MBC, Warbreck Lab 1796 (55.2 +10.9), LD R Roberts 1024 (31.4 -13.8), BNP 136 (4.2 +4.2), Ind 131 (4.0 +4.0), UKIP 52 (1.6 +1.6), Green 45 (1.4 +1.4), Con 40 (1.2 -3.2), Liverpool Lab Community Part...