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Metropolitan Police Authority Report on Election Fraud

I am not sure where this is available on the web and it has been commented on in the media, but here is part of the report. Within the MPS, election offences (often referred to as electoral fraud), are investigated by the Special Prosecutions Unit (SPU) of the Counter Terrorism Command (CTC - SO15), as such investigations were previously the remit of SO12 (Special Branch). In relation to the local elections of 4 May 2006, around 30 separate investigations have taken, or are currently taking place. The scale of these investigations differs enormously, from simple allegations involving technical breaches of election law through to a major investigation currently underway in the London Borough of Tower Hamlets, where a wide range of apparent fraudulent activity is being investigated. The complexity of these investigations makes it difficult to be precise in counting the number of individual offences involved. A number of these investigations have already concluded, whereas some allegation...

Parliamentary Procedure and reruns of the 1992 General Election

There are odd bits about the workings of parliament that are not generally known. For example it took me a year to get broadband internet access that allows me to down load emails from my email servers (which are outside the network), but I had a pink ribbon for my sword immediately. Another issue is the differential treatment between members of the House of Commons and those of the House of Lords. Those peers who have been MPs can buy tea in the MPs tea room. Similarly they can have dinner with MPs in the Members Dining room. However whereas MPs are allowed credit accounts Peers have to pay cash on the nail. An enterprising Peer investigated this and found that the House Authorities had too many bad debts from Peers who built up meal debts and then passed on. It is, therefore, the differential mortality between MPs and Peers that has resulted in MPs being allowed to maintain an account and Peers not. It is quite useful to have some Peers involved in the discussions. Clearly th...

Ofcom and Silent Calls

It does appear that Ofcom want No Operator Available calls to remain silent as fewer people will complain because they don't know who to complain about. I have asked Ofcom whether this is true earlier today and they have not as yet responded.

Another Social Services Error Corrected

The linked story is to another situation where a medical opinion and rather strange analysis resulted in a family being separated for two years. I haven't seen the detailed judgement, but at least they have managed to resolve the underlying issue. However, the damage that will have been done by state intervention will be difficult to handle.

Written Parliamentary Question: 17th October 2006

Convictions Q: To ask the Minister of State, Department for Constitutional Affairs what measures are in place to protect those whose convictions are based on an uncorroborated allegation that turns out to be false but has not been formally retracted. (John Hemming) A: Uncorroborated allegations do not have a special status and are treated as other evidence. The safeguards in place to prevent miscarriages of justice are applicable to all cases regardless of the evidence used to convict the accused. (Gerry Sutcliffe, Parliamentary Under-Secretary, Home Office)

Has Conventional Oil Production Peaked?

Notwithstanding all the complications of oil production (such as problems at Prudhoe Bay, foolish invasions of oil rich countries etc) there will come a point at which Oil Production will peak. This will be preceeded by Conventional Oil Production peaking. The link is to some work on my main reference website sourced from the EIA by Mike Pepler. This indicates that Conventional Oil Production (ignoring deepwater and that from gas production) may have peaked). ASPO newsletter No 70 is out now and includes the following: Discovery so far in 2006 The Offshore Journal has collected information on discoveries this year through June. They amount to the following: In less than 500m water depth : 25 discoveries totalling 0.87 Gb of oil and 6.8 Tcf of gas In 500-1500m of water : 8 discoveries totalling 0.75 Gb and 0.93 Tcf of gas In more than 1500m of water : 7 discoveries totalling 1.6 Gb of oil and 2 Tcf of gas So, the total amounts to 3.2 Gb of oil and 9.7 Tcf of gas of which only 1.6 Gb ...

ARRSE

The link is to A.R.R.S.E. The British ARmy RUmour SErvice. It is interesting how the media have picked up on what is effectively army gossip with various squaddies making anonymous comments in support of Sir Richard Dannatt. Sir Richard should have expected to be sacked in making the comments he did. However, actually what should happen is that the goverment should recognise that their policy in Iraq (and also in Helmand) is wrong. None of these things are Rocket Science (notwithstanding the use of RPGs). Human nature has been the same over years. People resist occupations simply because there is an occupation. It does not matter to that extent how many empty schools are built. If there is an occupation the people will resist it. The greater the force of the occupation the greater the resistance until such a point as it cannot increase. The real problem, of course, is that although you can "up the ante" trying to cool things down is difficult. Still we will see what ha...

Written Parliamentary Question: 13th October 2006

Freedom of Information Q: To ask the Deputy Prime Minister if he will list the local authorities which have applied under the Freedom of Information Act for information from his Department in 2006; and what information they have applied for. (John Hemming) A: holding answer 27 February 2006 I have been asked to reply. The Office of the Deputy Prime Minister and the Department for Communities and Local Government (including the Government offices for the regions) have received the following requests for information from local authorities in 2006. All requests, including those by organisations, are made by named individuals. We are unable to determine whether the request has been made by an individual, or on behalf of the local authority as a whole. (Angela Smith, Parliamentary Under-Secretary, Department for Communities and Local Government) (for the table, please follow the link)

Dr Rant on Health Statistics

"The BBC is reporting that 43% of Hospital Trusts were caught by 'lie detector software' . "What does this tell us? "It tells us that the lie detection software gives a false negative 57% of the time." Dr Rant is a perhaps slightly less vitriolic version of AngryNHSDoc, who was forced by management to take his blog down. AngryNHSDoc made a number of useful points that it is worth people being aware of: Statistics are fiddled (see also Dr Rant). People abuse the NHS. Doctors don't think NHS Direct is of much benefit. The way in which things are reported, however, means that much of what the Healthcare Commission said recently was meaningless to patients. For example a PCT that set a target of 12% of smoking pregnant mothers and hit 16% failed. A PCT that set a target of 16% and hit it passed. It creates a culture whereby people should only set targets that they know they can hit. We also have the QoF which is where points mean pounds to GP Practises. ...

"Troops Out" - in the Daily Mail ?

It is not surprising to have people calling for the withdrawal of Troops from Iraq. It is not surprising to have people saying that the presence of British Troops: a) Makes the security situation worse in Iraq b) Causes problems for Britain around the world c) Causes further difficulties in the UK. What is surprising is that it is the Army Chief of Staff Sir Richard Dannatt and it is in the Daily Mail. The article is a good article that I almost agree with entirely. However, I do have a disagreement about Afghanistan. I think that the actions of the Troops in Helmand could have a long term impact. It is important to remember that there is a sort of "Gremlin" effect whereby when you kill an Afghan their Cousin-Brothers are duty bound to obtain revenge. You therefore get a "Gremlin factor" where for each one who dies two or more take their place. This is the difficulty with a military strategy of occupation. You cannot win "hearts and minds" by killing...

Politics through Humour (Reductio ad absurdum)

The law to get rid of Brian Haw (which hasn't actually achieved its objective) has resulted in a number of consequences. The linked story is about Mark Thomas's 21 demonstrations in a day. This is a good bit of his article: Through earlier protests, I have got to know the man who coordinates the requests quite well. PC Paul McInally now handles most of the Socpa applications. "What can I do for you today, Mark?" he asks, as we sit in the interview room. "I've got 21 forms for you." "Right then," he says in a businesslike fashion, "let's go through them." I like PC McInally. We sort of bonded a few months ago when I handed in an application to demand the immediate sacking of Superintendent Terry. "You want to sack my direct superior!" PC McInally had spluttered. "Yes, please." "I've got to go and ask him if you can have a demonstration calling for him to be sacked?" "I believe so." I sai...

Secret Medical Files

If medical records are held on someone then they should be provided to them. What I cannot understand is why the University Hospital of North Staffordshire have not yet done this with the Special Case files.

Hospital Closures - Not a political issue ?!? (Nothing to do with me gov)

Both David Cameron and Gordon Brown appear to be suggesting that Hospital Closures and other "service reconfigurations" should not be a political issue. David Cameron will set out plans today to give the NHS greater protection from political interference. The Conservative "independence Bill" for the NHS would put crucial decisions on its running and resources beyond the control of ministers by 2008. This proposal is along the lines of Gordon Brown's. It is like Patricia Hewitt disclaiming responsibility for all of the decisions of PCTs. What it actually means is politicians opting out of decisions as to whether or not services are changed. However superficially attractive this may seem to the tabloids it would result in a situation in which ordinary citizens become powerless in influencing what happens with the NHS. Bringing in proper accountability at PCT level would be far more effective.

Has Michael Crick selected the Tory Candidate for Battersea?

It would not surprise me at all to find out that the tory party's new "open selection" system for candidates has resulted in Labour activists deciding who the Tory candidate is (see Recess Monkey ). I would be more surprised if Michael Crick had managed to be one of the 300 voters as they should be able to recognise him. Still if you allow the Labour Party to select the Tory Candidates that is one way of making the Tories the same as Labour.

Has Michael Crick selected the Tory Candidate for Battersea?

It would not surprise me at all to find out that the tory party's new "open selection" system for candidates has resulted in Labour activists deciding who the Tory candidate is (see Recess Monkey). I would be more surprised if Michael Crick had managed to be one of the 300 voters as they should be able to recognise him. Still if you allow the Labour Party to select the Tory Candidates that is one way of making the Tories the same as Labour.

Ken Wins - good news

I will be interested to read the judgement whereby the suspension of Ken Livingstone for a comment he made when slightly tired and emotional by the Standards Board/Adjudication Panel is quashed. The APE and Standards Board have censored councillors for really silly reasons (such as baking a cake). I take the view that actually the courts should be used to enforce local government standards and all the silly cases should be thrown in the bin. It is up to the voters to decide who represents them. Only when there are serious abuses should the courts get involved.

Written Parliamentary Questions: 6th October 2006

Relative Need Q: To ask the Deputy Prime Minister what the relative need factors are; and what value they have for the financial year 2006-07.(John Hemming) A: I have been asked to reply. The Relative Needs Formulae are, based on the demographic, physical and social characteristics of each area, used in the calculation of Formula Grant. Formula Grant comprises Revenue Support Grant, Redistributed Business Rates and principal formula Police Grant. In 2006-07, the total of all the Relative Needs Formulae is factor of 0.67811309347259. The total for each of the separate Relative Needs Formulae are given in Annex E of the Local Government Finance Report (England) 2006-07. The Relative Needs Formulae for each local authority can be found on the Department for Communities and Local Government website at: http://www.local.communities.gov.uk/finance/0607/g:rant.htm (Phil Woolas, Minister of State (Local Government & Community Cohesion), Department for Communities and Local Government) Inma...

Baby's salt death may be accident

This story about a prosecution of a mother for poisoning her son with salt shows a key conflict between Medical Logic and Legal Logic. The Doctor concerns believes honestly that the mother poisoned the child, but he has no evidence and was "unable to exclude the possibility that an accident was made". We really need to be able to have criminal trials based upon evidence rather than opinion. Doctors may make educated guesses about diagnoses which on the balance of probabilities are right. However, just because a doctor thinks there is a 60% chance that someone is guilty does not mean that they are guilty. There are too many cases where people are prosecuted without proper evidence. A "medical opinion" is not evidence.

Angry NHS Doctor bites the dust (2)

Initially when I copied the cached blog entries from the censored Angry NHS Doctor onto my website I didn't have time to read them. I have managed to do this now. I am sure the revelation that the figures used for NHS Targets are fiddled from time to time would concern the management of the hospitals. However, it is not as if it is a secret. Targets have been fiddled for as long as there have been targets so it is not in any way a surprise. I suppose it is a bit more surprising that someone admits it, but the blog was anonymous and I don't know which hospital it refers to.