John Hemming's Web Log John's Reference Website
Friday, July 31, 2009
  Interesting SBS Acquittal
The linked story is an important one in respect of SBS both in the Family Courts and also the criminal courts.
 
  Election Results 30th July 2009
Results Thursday 30th July 2009

Cheltenham BC, All Saints
LD Charlie Stewart 680 (58.2; -0.9) Con 395 (33.8; +0.2) Green 57 (4.9;
+0.4) Lab 37 (3.2; +0.3) Majority 285 Turnout 27.1% LD hold
Percentage change is since May 2008

Broxtowe BC, Brinsley
Con 416 (40.9; +40.9) BNP 288 (28.3; -15.7) LD Stuart William Hosker 224
(22.0; +22.0) Lab 68 (6.7; -22.9) UKIP 21 (2.1; +2.1) [Others (0.0; -26.5)]
Majority 128 Turnout not known Con gain from BNP Percentage change is since
May 2007

Tameside MBC, Denton North East
Lab 1258 (47.8; +2.3) Con 660 (25.1; -11.3) BNP 358 (13.6; +13.6)
UKIP 193 (7.3; +7.3) Green 164 (6.2; +6.2) [LD (0.0; -18.2)]
Majority 598 Turnout 31.5% Lab hold Percentage change is since May 2008
 
Thursday, July 30, 2009
  Swine Flu weekly report
The following is the weekly WM report. It shows both a big jump in consultations, but also the WM being now below average.

Introduction
This week’s report from NHS West Midlands shows that cases of swine flu continue to spread across the region. It provides information on the spread of swine flu and its impact on the local services as of 29 July 2009.

Key Messages
Patients presenting at primary care centres with influenza-like symptoms has increased within the health economy over the last week, the PCT reports that this increase is being managed well.

Activity /Rates – GPs
This shows the number of patients attending primary care with influenza-like illness – taken from the latest Health Protection Agency QSurveillance data (Data from the Royal College of GPs, which samples a number of GP practices). QSurveillance data indicates a significant increase for the week of 23 July, across England, West Midlands and within Birmingham East and North.

The reported rate of GP consultations per 100,000 population within the West Midlands this week was 213.9 (compared with 105.5 for last week). This is below the national average.

West Midlands average 213.9 (per 100,000)
England and Wales rates 224.1 (per 100,000)
NHS Birmingham East and North 190.6 (per 100,000)

Number of Hospital Admissions
The total number of new admissions with swine flu admitted to hospitals in the West Midlands for the period 23 July to 29 July 2009 is 116.

Number of Swine Flu Related Deaths
There have been no swine flu-related deaths reported for the week 23 July – 29 July 2009 within the West Midlands. The total number of deaths for the region remains at six.

Update on Anti-Viral Collection Points (ACPs)
Total number of Antiviral Collection Points planned for the Local Health Economy: 10
Currently open: 1 (Stechford)

The PCT currently has one ACP open which is in line with the current level of need. Plans are in place to open more collection points to meet any increase in demand.

Total number of assessments via the National Flu Pandemic Service (West Midlands): 45,000
Total number of antivirals collected (West Midlands): 18,949

Public Health Message
A new National Pandemic Flu Service has been launched to ensure that people with flu or flu-like symptoms are able to get advice and help. The new service is made up of a dedicated website and call centres which provide people with a quick way to check their symptoms and get access to antiviral drugs.

For more detail on local issues please contact your local PCT(s).

Useful web links
NHS choices – www.nhs.uk for symptom checker, latest guidance and hygiene advice.
National Pandemic Flu Service for assessment and access to antivirals:
Information: 0800 1 513 513
Treatment: 0800 1 513 100
www.direct.gov.uk/pandemicflu
 
Saturday, July 25, 2009
  Swine Flu - its a bit late really
Today we have the story that now we are starting to screen people for Swine Flu on entering the country.

This would have been better handled globally some months ago. This is the sort of process where a formula can predict infection rates. I think the rate of infection in the West Midlands has essentially stabilised.

We do need to have a good look at the issue of when to screen people and when to try to stop cross infection on the plane.

The government's response to me on this issue has been "we did what WHO said". However, other countries have been screening so why not us.
 
Friday, July 24, 2009
  South Korea and Pink Ribbons
The link is to a telegraph story about a form of riot in the South Korean Parliament.

It is interesting to compare the situation in South Korea to that in the UK where we don't have formal seats, but I cannot think of anyone tolerating that form of behaviour.

It is true that parliament is as described by the irish party in about 1881 as being "lawless" and there is a big problem with Standing Orders and Agenda being in the control of the government. However, parliament needs to maintain the rule of law and the behaviour in South Korea cannot be seen to have any merit.
 
  Burnt Out Cars and Birmingham Politics
Picture 121
This particular example of a car torched in October 2007 is still relevant to Birmingham Politics. The car belonged to Lib Dem Activists.

It was torched prior to the Aston Election court which started in November 2007. In the judgment of that trial the commissioner criticised Ayoub Khan - who is our candidate for Ladywood in the General Election and is Cabinet Member for Local Services on Birmingham City Council.

A judicial review of that judgment was held. In that judicial review to cut a long story short the judges said it was lawful for the election commissioner to criticise Ayoub because Ayoub inferred that the car was torched by Labour Supporters. He is appealing this judgment.

It is one of those things. I personally believe that the car was torched by Labour supporters in an attempt to intimidate witnesses in the Election Court. To that extent I beleive that it succeeded. Neither Ayoub, nor myself have any evidence as to who torched the car, but we have a lot of experience of Birmingham Politicns. To that extent we have a "reasonable suspicion", but no more than that.

Birmingham Politics is not like politics in a twee suburb. Ayoub Khan during his first election campaign in 2003 saved someone's life that he found in the street who had just been shot (not by Labour Party people). In 2004 Labour candidates were found filling in postal ballots in a warehouse on an industrial estate in the early hours of the morning. The postal ballots were arrested, but found their way into the count - somewhat amazingly.

At the same time there was an affray involving 200 people in Somerville Road also about stolen postal ballots. The postman had been offered £500 for the envelopes and threatened with being knifed if he didn't hand them over (to the Labour Party). At the same time at least one pillar box was set on fire.

The police called my complaints about election fraud in 2004 "Operation Gripe". There were two election courts in Aston and Bordesley Ward which found that mass electoral fraud went on by the Labour Party. This occurred in other wards, but the resources to take on more election courts were unavailable.

In 2006 the police arrested a Lib Dem Candidate (Gultasab) for being in possession of his own family's postal votes. Obviously that didn't go far. In 2007 they arrested a Lib Dem candidate and councillor two days from the election. They did a complete search of their houses (a deep sea trawling fishing expedition) and found nothing and there was no prosecution.

Then they found postal ballots for Nechells where Gultasab's handwriting was found on the applications. That was because Gultasab had been helping people to fill in the forms. He had indeed marked with an X where people should sign the sheets.

The police thought they had something so they went and interviewed the postal voters. The voters (few of which actually cast the votes) on being confronted with a police officer demanding to know if they voters had seen the forms previously denied all knowledge, but in the trial admitted that the signatures were those of the family.

Hence it was quite clear that entirely legitimate assistance for the voters had been provided and there was no fraud.

So fast forward to 2007 and we have a torched car. Sir Albert Bore has written to Nick Clegg to complain about us believing that Labour supporters might torch a car. In the past Labour members have beaten each other up. Why there is something wrong with thinking that Labour Supporters might torch a car to intimidate witnesses I have no idea.

Some stories
Election Court 2007 hearings
Labour Election Fraud would disgrace a banana republic
City Poll Riot
More postal ballot fraud
 
  Election Results this week
Redcar and Cleveland BC, Dormanstown
Eric Howden LD 805 (52.3; +27.2)
Lab 515 (33.5; -18.6)
BNP 145 (9.4; +9.4)
Con 73 (4.7; -18.0)
Majority 290
Turnout 29.88%
LD gain from Lab
Percentage change from 2007

Brighton and Hove City Council, Goldsmid
Green 1,456 (38.5; +17.2)
Con 1,104 (29.2; +1.1)
Lab 816 (21.6; -4.4)
Howard Spencer LD 280 (7.4; -7.8)
UKIP 129 (3.4; +3.4)
[Ind (0.0; -9.5)
Majority 352
Turnout 32.85%
Green gain from Con
Percentage change is since 2007

Stockport MBC, Reddish North
Lab 1,218 (49.5; +1.0)
Con 403 (16.4; -8.9)
UKIP 342 (13.9; +13.9)
Norman Beverley LD 303 (12.3; +0.7)
BNP 195 (7.9; -6.6)
Majority 815
Turnout 23.5%
Lab hold
Percentage change since 2008

Wellingborough BC, Swanspool
Con 548 (46.0; -9.6)
Lab 361 (30.3; -14.0)
Daniel Jones LD 162 (13.6; +13.6)
BNP 120 (10.1; +10.1)
Majority 187
Turnout 27.4%
Con hold
Percentage change since 2007

Brent LBC, Wembley Central
Afifa Pervez LD 1,195 (41.3; -5.2)
Lab 934 (32.3; -9.0)
Con 423 (14.6; +2.4)
Ind 240 (8.3; +8.3)
Green 100 (3.5; +3.5)
Majority 261
Turnout 29.28%
Lib Dem hold
Percentage change is since 2006

Huntingdonshire DC, Ramsey
UKIP 753 (39.2; +17.4)
Con 569 (29.6; -16.6)
Ind 303 (15.8; +15.8)
Melanie Jane Allgood LD 295 (15.4; -11.8)
[Lab (0.0; -4.8)]
Majority 184
Turnout 30.14
UKIP gain from LD
Percentage change from 2008

Cambridgeshire CC, Ramsey
UKIP 865 (45.3; +45.3)
Con 682 (35.7; -10.6)
Anthony Bell Hulme LD 308 (16.1; -21.5)
Lab 53 (2.8; -13.3)
Majority 183
Turnout 30.14%
UKIP gain from Con
Percentage change is since 2005

Huntingdon TC, North
Patricia Ellen Shrapnel LD 242 (41.2)
Con 207 (35.3)
Lab 138 (23.5)
Majority 35
Turnout 30.14%
LD hold

Derbyshire Dales DC, Winster & South Darley
Lab 426 (62.6; +32.9)
Con 255 (37.3; -6.7)
[LD (0.0; -26.2)
Majority 171
Turnout 48.4%
Lab gain from Con
Percentage change is from 2007
 
  Local Swine Flu Update
Although I am not at all a fan of what the government have done in respect of swine flu I am blogging the current report.

What it talks about is a "decrease in trend". I am trying to find out what they mean by that.


Introduction
This week’s report provides information on the spread of swine flu and its impact on the local services
Key Messages
PCT is meeting the requirements of current demand
Activity /Rates – GPs
Influenza like illness consultation rates by PCT - 103.4 (per 100,000) – this indicates a decrease in trend.
West Midlands average for the week – 105.5 (per 100,000)
England and Wales rates for the week 87.8 (per 100,000)
Hospital Data
BCH
Current Inpatient numbers with swine flu – 11
Current number of critical care patients with swine flu symptoms – 0
Deaths in the last week – 0
ED attendances are around 30% higher than usual for time of year.
HEFT
Current Inpatient numbers with swine flu – 4
Current number of critical care patients with swine flu – 3
Deaths in the last week - 2
ROH
Current Inpatient numbers with swine flu – 0
Current number of critical care patients with swine flu symptoms – 0
Deaths in the last week – 0
BWH
Current Inpatient numbers with swine flu – 0
Current number of critical care patients with swine flu symptoms – 0
Regional number of Swine Flu-related deaths to 23 July - 6
Update on Anti-Viral Collection Points
Number of Anti-Viral Collection Points open – 1: Stetchford
Further 5 Anti-Viral Collection Points planned but not yet open
Specific local information on clusters or the focus of cases
None at present
Health Information or Advice
 
Thursday, July 23, 2009
  Swine Flu - would a doctor take Tamiflu
The link is to NHS Blog Doc's take on Swine flu. Extracting a bit:

I hear there is to be a dedicated "swine flu line". The layman who answers has been "empowered" both to diagnose swine flu and to prescribe Tamiflu. I wish someone would likewise "empower" me. I don't know how to diagnose swine flu. I can prescribe Tamiflu, though as yet I have not. I would not take it, and I would not give it to my family, so why would I prescribe it for patients? What this means is that anyone with any vaguely viral symptom is going to get "treatment" for a condtion they probably do not have with a drug that is next to useless and may have hitherto unexpected side effects. Great! It is going to be worse than resisting the demands for inappropriate antibiotics.

Where I have a problem is that we are closing schools and possibly university campuses, people are being prevented from flying out, but the government see nothing wrong with people getting infected on planes flying into the UK.

Although it is too late now we do need a proper look at disease tranmission vectors. The government have had a policy of "containment" meaning I presume keeping it in the UK.
 
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
  GSCC Chief Suspended
(Guardian)
The chief executive of the organisation responsible for regulating social workers was yesterday suspended over a backlog of cases, including allegations against professionals working with children.

Mike Wardle, who has led the General Social Care Council (GSCC) for the last two years, was sent home by the council's governing body while an investigation is held into management of the backlog and failure to act against 22 social workers in cases where there was "ongoing risk of harm".


It seems that the log jam of cover-up is starting to break.
 
Monday, July 20, 2009
  Video on Birmingham review of Childrens Specialised Services
Paul Dale has done a video about Birmingham's care system. See the link for this (I have not found the way of embedding it yet).
 
  Stolen Kids Bloggers
A new approach on blogspot to the issue of miscarriages of justice has been set up. It is on the link.
 
Sunday, July 19, 2009
  Telegraph on RSPCA case
This case is one which we hope to get to the European Court. Basically there is no evidence that warrants keeping the child in care. There is also evidence that being in care is doing her harm.

However, the state wishes to keep her in care for further assessments.

Wrong.
 
Friday, July 17, 2009
  WEEE
The link is to a debate on the new WEEE proposals. From an accounting perspective I find it rather sad that the so called cost benefit analyses are basically wrong.

From a human perspective I find the obsession with measuring the worth of everything in GBP sad.
 
  Election Results 17th July 2009
Erewash BC, Abbotsford
Con 471 (53.4;+2.1)
Lab 306 (34.7;-14.0)
Peter Aanonson LD 105 (11.9;+11.9)
Majority 165
Turnout 23.0%
Con hold

Warwickshire CC, Arbury and Stockingford
Lab 1331 (41.7; +13.5)
Con 1079 (33.8;+2.6)
BNP 449 (14.1;-10.4)
Green 170 (5.3;-10.8)
Rachel Field LD 118 (3.7;+3.7)
Socialist Alternative 43 (1.3;1.3)
Maj 252
Turnout 21.4%
Lab gain from Con

Derbyshire CC, Kirk Hallam division
Lab 1261 (49.9;-15.9)
Con 783 (31.0;-3.3)
BNP 327 (12.9;12.9)
Richard Pyle LD 158 (6.2;+6.2)
Majority 478
Turnout 29.2%
Lab Hold
Percentage changes are since 2005

Wychavon DC, Droitwich Central
Ann Gopsill LD 233 (51.1;+9.6)
Con 223 (48.9;+17.9)
[Lab (0.0;-27.5)]
Majority 10
Turnout 22.8%
LD hold
Percentages calculated since 2007
Party defending seat: LD. Cause: Death.

Christine Payne LD 279 (34.4;-1.1)
Con 278 (34.3;+4.0)
Ind 156 (19.2;-9.9)
UKIP 98 (12.1;+12.1)
[Lab (0.0;-5.1)]
Majority 1
Turnout 25.4%
LD hold

St Helens BC, Moss Bank
David Kent LD 1480 (53.9;-8.6)
Lab 1011 (36.8;+8.6)
Con 111 (4.0;-5.3)
Green 73 (2.7;+2.7)
Ind 71 (2.6,+2.6)
Majority 469
Turnout 31.8%
LD hold
Percentage changes since 2008

Cirencester TC, Watermoor
date: 16/07/2009
Gary Martyn Selwyn LD 334 (59.3)
Con 180 (32.0)
Ind 49 (8.7)
Majority 154
LD hold
 
Monday, July 13, 2009
  Acocks Green Carnival
The link is to Rob Jones' photographs of the Acocks Green Carnival.
 
Friday, July 10, 2009
  By-election result 9th July
Gosport BC, Brockhurst
LD Rob Hylands 562 Siobhan Mitchell-Smith 523 (50.3; +2.8)
Con 364 / 339 (32.6; -7.0)
Green 131 (11.7; +5.6)
Lab 60 / 56 (5.4; -1.4)
Majorities 198 / 159
Turnout 28.16%
LD hold x 2
Percentage change is since May 2008

Lichfield DC, Whittington
Con 345 (65.1; -5.1)
LD Penny Bennion 185 (34.9; +5.1)
Majority 160
Turnout not known
Con hold
Percentage change is since May 2007

Suffolk Coastal DC, Walberswick and Wenhaston
Con 316 (66.0; -6.1)
Green 163 (34.0; +34.0)
[Lab (0.0; -27.9)]
Majority 153
Turnout 30.5%
Con hold
Percentage change is since May 2007

Party defending seat: Con. Cause: Resignation.
 
  Reactive Attachment Disorder
One thing that concerns me is the failure to recognise that it is the way that children are treated in care that gives rise to many of the problems they face in later life.

The DCSF Select Committee saw the system in Denmark which is so very different both in the way it treats families and is so much better in terms of outcomes.

However, although it is obvious from this that whatever may happen to children before the state gets involved the outcomes could be far better, this is not generally recognised.

The increase in the number of failed adoptions recognised in the attached artice in The Times and also on More 4 tonight is from an increase in inappropriate adoption decisions as well as more reactive attachment disorder from the treatment of babies in part by birth parents and in part by the care system.
 
Sunday, July 05, 2009
  Don't protest about Childrens Services or the state will section you and silence you
What I find particularly concerning about the linked article is the way in which the father concerned was silenced as a result of being wrongly sectioned.
 
Friday, July 03, 2009
  Election Result 2nd July 2009
Sutton LBC, Nonsuch
LD Gerry Jerome 1665 (50.6; +4.0)
Con 1329 (40.4; -7.2)
BNP 211 (6.4; +6.4)
Lab 88 (2.7; -3.3)
Majority 336
Turnout 41%
LD gain from Con
Percentage change is since May 2006
 
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
  Acocks Green Mecca Bingo - campaigning about unfair taxation
cropped IMG_1211
This is about the fact that bingo uniquely pays 22% tax rather than the normal 15% for other forms of gambling including online bingo.
 

Click Here for access to higher resolution versions of the photos The license for use allows use of the photos by media as long as they are attributed.

better brent chart

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